Towards meeting the IATA-agreed 1.5% average annual fuel efficiency improvements between 2010 and 2020: the current progress being made by U.S. air carriers
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to see if airlines in general, and U.S. air-carriers in particular, are meeting their IATA-agreed 1.5% average annual fuel efficiency improvements between 2010 and 2020. To assess the fuel efficiency performance, a quantitative analysis was performed using data provided by ICAO, IATA and the U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Form 41 Schedules P 12(a) and T-2. The metric used to assess fuel efficiency is the one advanced by ICAO, namely Litres per Revenue Tonne Kilometre performed. Trends are examined over an extended timeframe to establish annual fuel efficiency improvements. The findings show that the overall performance of U.S. air-carriers from 2010 to 2018 has just met IATA’s 1.5% target with a 1.52% year-upon-year annual fuel efficiency improvement, with domestic operations showing a greater level of improvement than international operations. Such performance suggests that the U.S.A, and by inference, the rest of the world, are just likely to meet their IATA target by 2020. This achievement has largely been made possible through industry’s tremendous efforts to enhance aircraft engine technologies, implement operational improvements, and reduce airframe weight through the extensive application of composite materials.
First published online 27 February 2020
Keyword : aviation, fuel efficiency, revenue tonne-kilometre, scheduled and non-scheduled service, U.S. air carriers
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
References
Air Transport Action Group. (2010). Beginner’s guide to aviation efficiency. http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2017/ph240/chhoa1/docs/atag-nov10.pdf
Air Transport Action Group. (2018). Aviation benefit beyond borders. https://aviationbenefits.org/media/166344/abbb18_full-report_web.pdf
Airbus. (2019). Global Market Forecast 2019–2038. https://www.airbus.com/aircraft/market/global-market-forecast.html
Australian Aviation. (2019). United airlines leads charge on biofuel commitment. https://australianaviation.com.au/2019/05/united-airlines-leads-charge-on-biofuel-commitment/
Babikian, R., Lukachko, S. P., & Waitz, I. A. (2002). The historical fuel efficiency characteristics of regional aircraft from technological, operational, and cost perspectives. Journal of Air Transport Management, 8(6), 389–400. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0969-6997(02)00020-0
Bardell, N. S., & Yue, H. (2018, Oct 31–Nov 02). A discussion about how efficiently the major US airlines are using their domestic fleets of Boeing 737-800 aircraft. 40th Australasian Transport Research Forum. Darwin, Australia.
Benito, A., & Alonso, G. (2018). 4 – Aircraft design. In A. Benito & G. Alonso (Eds.), Energy efficiency in air transportation, butterworth-heinemann (pp. 45–75). http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780128125816000041
Blockley, R., Agarwal, R., Collier, F., Schaefer, A., & Seabridge, A. (2016). Green aviation. John Wiley & Sons.
Boeing. (2019). Commercial market outlook 2019–2038. https://www.boeing.com/commercial/market/commercial-market-outlook/
Budd, L., Griggs, S., & Howarth, D. (2013). Sustainable aviation futures. Emerald Group Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1108/S2044-9941(2013)0000004018
BTS Schedule T-100. (2019). United States Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Air Carrier Statistics (Form 41 Traffic). U.S. Carriers. http://www.transtats.bts.gov
BTS Schedule P-12(a). (2019). Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), Airline Fuel Cost and Consumption (U.S. Carriers – All), United States Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Air Carrier Financial: Schedule P-12(a). https://www.transtats.bts.gov/fuel.asp?pn=1
BTS Schedule T-2. (2019). Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), Schedule T-2, United States Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Air Carrier Summary: T2: U.S. Air Carrier Traffic And Capacity Statistics by Aircraft Type. https://www.bts.gov/browse-statistical-products-and-data/bts-publications/data-bank-21-form-41-schedule-t-2-t-100
CAAF2. (2017, 11–13 October). Second ICAO Conference on Aviation and Alternative Fuels (CAAF2). Mexico City, Mexico. https://www.icao.int/meetings/caaf2/pages/default.aspx
CNG2020. (n.d.). Resolution on the implementation of the aviation “CNG2020” strategy. 69th Annual General Meeting of the International Air Transport Association. Geneva. https://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Documents/agm69-resolution-cng2020.pdf
Cui, Q., & Li, Y. (2015). Evaluating energy efficiency for airlines: An application of VFB-DEA. Journal of Air Transport Management, 44–45, 34–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2015.02.008
Cui, Q., & Li, Y. (2016). Airline energy efficiency measures considering carbon abatement: A new strategic framework. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 49, 246–258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2016.10.003
Durso, J. C. (2007). An introduction to DOT Form 41 web resources for airline financial analysis. https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/16264/dot_16264_DS1.pdf
Engelman, R. (2013). Beyond sustainable. In State of the world 2013: is sustainability still possible? (pp. 3–16) Island Press/Center for Resource Economics, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-458-1_1
García-Mayoral, R., & Jiménez, J. (2011). Drag reduction by riblets. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 369, 1412–1427. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0359
Gössling, S., & Upham, P. (2009). Climate change and aviation: Issues, challenges and solutions. Earthscan.
Green Air. (2013). Airservices Australia’s Flex Tracks programme completes 10 years of fuel and emissions savings for Emirates. https://www.greenaironline.com/news.php?viewStory=1797
Hamerton, I., & Mooring, L. (2012). 7 – The use of thermosets in aerospace applications (pp. 189–227). In Q. Guo (Ed.), Thermosets, 2012, 189–227. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780857090867500079
Hassan, M., Pfaender, H., & Mavris, D. (2018). Probabilistic assessment of aviation CO2 emission targets. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 63, 362–376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2018.06.006
Hileman, J., Katz, J. B., Mantilla, J. G., & Fleming, G. (2008, 14–19 September). Payload fuel energy efficiency as a metric for aviation environmental performance. 26th International Congress of Aeronautical Sciences. Anchorage, Alaska, USA. Paper ICAS 2008-4.7.4
IATA. (2007). IATA calls for a zero emissions future. https://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Pages/2007-06-04-02.aspx
IATA. (2009). Resolution on implementation of the aviation carbon-neutral growth (CNG2020) strategy. https://www.iata.org/contentassets/3a0afea48e6e400f90e748edcf43d3c3/agm69-resolution-cng2020.pdf
IATA. (2010, June). Giovanni Bisignani director general & CEO International Air Transport Association Annual Report 2010. 66th Annual General Meeting. Berlin. https://www.iata.org/about/Documents/IATAAnnualReport2010.pdf
IATA (2015). IATA Sustainable aviation fuel roadmap (1st ed.). International Air Transportation Association: Montreal, Geneva. https://www.iata.org/contentassets/d13875e9ed-784f75bac90f000760e998/safr-1-2015.pdf
IATA. (2018a). World air transport statistics. https://www.iata.org/publications/store/Pages/world-air-transport-statistics.aspx
IATA. (2018b). Air passenger market analysis December 2018. https://www.iata.org/publications/economics/Reports/pax-monthly-analysis/passenger-analysis-dec-2018.pdf
IATA. (2018c). Air freight demand ends year Up 3.5%, despite softening late 2018. https://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Pages/2019-02-06-01.aspx
IATA. (2019). About us. https://www.iata.org/about/Pages/index.aspx
ICAO. (2009, 23–27 November). Review of the classification and definitions used for civil aviation activities. Tenth Session of the Statistics division, STA/10-WP/7. Montreal.
ICAO. (2010). International civil aviation organization. Assembly Resolutions in Force (as of 8 October 2010). Doc 9958, ISBN 978-92-9231-773-7.
ICAO. (2017). ICAO Council adopts new CO2 emissions standard for aircraft (Para 4). https://www.icao.int/newsroom/pages/icao-council-adopts-new-co2-emissions-standard-for-aircraft.aspx
ICAO. (2019). Member states. https://www.icao.int/Member-States/Member%20States.Multilingual.pdf
Joshi, S.C., & Sheikh, A. A. (2015). 3D printing in aerospace and its long-term sustainability. Virtual and Physical Prototyping, 10(4), 175–185. https://doi.org/10.1080/17452759.2015.1111519
Kharina, A. & Rutherford, D. (2015). Fuel efficiency trends for new commercial jet aircraft: 1960 to 2014. International Council on Clean Transportation, Washington, DC. https://theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/ICCT_Aircraft-FE-Trends_20150902.pdf
Lee, J. J., Lukachko, S. P., Waitz, I. A., & Schafer, A. (2001). Historical and future trends in aircraft performance, cost, and emissions. Annual Review of Energy the Environment, 26(1), 167–200. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.26.1.167
Lumbroso, A. (2019). Aviation liberalisation: What headwinds do we still face? Journal of Air Transport Management, 74, 22–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2018.09.003
Miyoshi, C., & Merkert R. (2010). Changes in carbon efficiency, unit cost of firms over time and the impacts of the fuel price – an empirical analysis of major European airlines. Porto, Portugal.
Nangia, R. (2006). Efficiency parameters for modern commercial aircraft. The Aeronautical Journal, 110(110), 495–510. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0001924000001391
NASA. (2017). Improving aerospace vehicle efficiency. https://www.nasa.gov/feature/improving-aerospace-vehicle-efficiency
Nelson, E. S. & Reddy, D. R. (2018). Green aviation: reduction of environmental impact through aircraft technology and alternative fuels. Sustainable Energy Developments, CRC Press, London, UK. https://doi.org/10.1201/b20287
Peeters, P., Middel, J., & Hoolhorst, A. (2005). Fuel efficiency of commercial aircraft: an overview of historical and future trends. NLR-CR-2005-669.
Sádaba, S., Martínez-Hergueta, F., Lopes, C. S., Gonzalez, C., & Llorca, J. (2015). 10 – Virtual testing of impact in fiber reinforced laminates. In P. W. R. Beaumont, C. Soutis, & A. Hodzic (Eds.), Structural integrity and durability of advanced composites (pp. 247–270). Woodhead Publishing. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780081001370000109
Staples, M. D., Malina, R., Suresh, P., Hileman, J. I., & Barrett, S. R. H. (2018). Aviation CO2 emissions reductions from the use of alternative jet fuels. Energy Policy, 114, 342–354. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.12.007
Stemart, C. (2015). Fuel and flight efficiency services by airbus. AACO 7th Aviation Fuel Forum. Dubai, UAE.T-100 Traffic Reporting Guide. (2007). U. S. Department of Transportation.
United Nations. (1987). Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future.
United Technologies Corporation – Pratt & Whitney Division. (2019). Pratt & Whitney GTF engine. https://www.pw.utc.com/products-and-services/products/commercial-engines/Pratt-and-Whitney-GTF-Engine/
Zhang, A., Hanaoka, S., Inamura, H., & Ishikura, T. (2008). Low-cost carriers in Asia: Deregulation, regional liberalization and secondary airports. Research in Transportation Economics, 24(1), 36–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2009.01.001