Share:


An integrated decision support system for stock investment based on spherical fuzzy PT-EDAS method and MEREC

    Huiyuan Zhang Affiliation
    ; Hongjun Wang Affiliation
    ; Guiwu Wei Affiliation
    ; Xudong Chen Affiliation

Abstract

The stock investment selection could be deemed as a classic multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problem involving multiple conflicts and interleaved qualitative and quantitative attributes. Spherical fuzzy sets (SFSs) can excavate the potential vagueness and intricacy in MAGDM more effectively and deeply. This article we propose an integrated decision support system (IDSS) based on SFSs, prospect theory (PT), distance from average solution (EDAS) method and the MEthod based on the Removal Effects of Criteria (MEREC). The proposed IDSS, called SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC model, uses SFSs to describe the uncertain and obscure assessment information of DMs. The combination of PT and EDAS (PT-EDAS) method adequately captures DMs’ psychological behavior characteristics to execute more reasonable alternative evaluation. The MEREC is utilized to efficaciously obtain unknown attribute weights. In addition, this paper also presents a novel score function to compare spherical fuzzy numbers (SFNs) more directly and efficiently. Eventually, in order to illustrate the practicability of the proposed IDSS, two numerical examples of stock investment selection are employed to achieve this. Meanwhile, the comparative study with existing approach further demonstrates the effectiveness and superiority of SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC model.

Keyword : spherical fuzzy sets, EDAS method, multiple attribute group decision making, prospect theory, MEREC, stock investment selection

How to Cite
Zhang, H., Wang, H., Wei, G., & Chen, X. (2023). An integrated decision support system for stock investment based on spherical fuzzy PT-EDAS method and MEREC. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 29(4), 1353–1381. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2023.19123
Published in Issue
Sep 12, 2023
Abstract Views
363
PDF Downloads
328
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Albadvi, A., Chaharsooghi, S. K., & Esfahanipour, A. (2007). Decision making in stock trading: An application of PROMETHEE. European Journal of Operational Research, 177, 673–683. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2005.11.022

Ashraf, S., Abdullah, S., Mahmood, T., Ghani, F., & Mahmood, T. (2019). Spherical fuzzy sets and their applications in multi-attribute decision making problems. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 36, 2829–2844. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-172009

Atanassov, K. T. (1986). Intuitionistic fuzzy sets. Fuzzy Sets and System, 20, 87–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(86)80034-3

Boltürk, E., & Kutlu Gündoğdu, F. (2021). Prioritizing manufacturing challenges of a contract manufacturing company for personal auto by using spherical WASPAS method. In C. Kahraman & F. Kutlu Gündoğdu (Eds.), Decision making with spherical fuzzy sets: Theory and applications (pp. 259–275). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45461-6_11

Brans, J. P., Vinvke, P., & Mareschal, B. (1986). How to select and how to rank projects: The PROMETHEE method. European Journal of Operational Research, 24, 228–238. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(86)90044-5

Buyuk, A. M., & Temur, G. T. (2022). Food waste treatment option selection through spherical fuzzy AHP. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 42, 97–107. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-219178

Chen, T., Wang, Y.-T., Wang, J.-Q., Li, L., & Cheng, P.-F. (2020). Multistage decision framework for the selection of renewable energy sources based on prospect theory and PROMETHEE. International Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 22, 1535–1551. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-020-00858-1

Chen, T. Y. (2018). Remoteness index-based Pythagorean fuzzy VIKOR methods with a generalized distance measure for multiple criteria decision analysis. Information Fusion, 41, 129–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inffus.2017.09.003

Deng, H., Yeh, C. H., & Willis, R. J. (2000). Inter-company comparison using modified TOPSIS with objective weights. Computers & Operations Research, 27, 963–973. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-0548(99)00069-6

Diakoulaki, D., Mavrotas, G., & Papayannakis, L. (1995). Determining objective weights in multiple criteria problems: The critic method. Computers & Operations Research, 22, 763–770. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-0548(94)00059-H

Fan, J., Zhai, S., & Wu, M. (2022). PT-MARCOS multi-attribute decision-making method under neutrosophic cubic environment. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 42, 1737–1748. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-211189

Farrokhizadeh, E., Seyfi-Shishavan, S. A., Gundogdu, F. K., Donyatalab, Y., Kahraman, C., & Seifi, S. H. (2021). A spherical fuzzy methodology integrating maximizing deviation and TOPSIS methods. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 101, 104212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2021.104212

Gomes, L., & Rangel, L. A. D. (2009). An application of the TODIM method to the multicriteria rental evaluation of residential properties. European Journal of Operational Research, 193, 204–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2007.10.046

Gundogdu, F. K. (2020). A spherical fuzzy extension of MULTIMOORA method. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 38, 963–978. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-179462

Gundogdu, F. K., & Kahraman, C. (2019). Spherical fuzzy sets and spherical fuzzy TOPSIS method. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 36, 337–352. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-181401

He, Y., Lei, F., Wei, G., Wang, R., Wu, J., & Wei, C. (2019). EDAS method for multiple attribute group decision making with probabilistic uncertain linguistic information and its application to green supplier selection. International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 12, 1361–1370. https://doi.org/10.2991/ijcis.d.191028.001

Huang, W., Goto, S., & Nakamura, M. (2004). Decision-making for stock trading based on trading probability by considering whole market movement. European Journal of Operational Research, 157, 227–241. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(03)00144-9

Huang, Y., Lin, R., & Chen, X. (2021). An enhancement EDAS method based on prospect theory. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 27, 1019–1038. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2021.15038

Jia, F., & Wang, X. (2020). Rough-Number-Based Multiple-Criteria Group Decision-Making Method by combining the BWM and prospect theory. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2020, 8738327. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8738327

Jiang, Z., Wei, G., & Guo, Y. (2022). Picture fuzzy MABAC method based on prospect theory for multiple attribute group decision making and its application to suppliers selection. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 42, 3405–3415. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-211359

Ju, Y., Liang, Y., Luo, C., Dong, P., Gonzalez, E. D. R. S., & Wang, A. (2021). T-spherical fuzzy TODIM method for multi-criteria group decision-making problem with incomplete weight information. Soft Computing, 25, 2981–3001. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-020-05357-x

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, 263–291. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185

Kahraman, C., Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., Zavadskas, E. K., Onar, S. C., Yazdani, M., & Oztaysi, B. (2017). Intuitionistic fuzzy EDAS method: An application to solid waste disposal site selection. Journal of Environmental Engineering and Landscape Management, 25, 1–12. https://doi.org/10.3846/16486897.2017.1281139

Kahraman, C., Onar, S. C., & Oztaysi, B. (2022). A novel spherical fuzzy CRITIC method and its application to prioritization of supplier selection criteria. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 42, 29–36. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-219172

Keshavarz-Ghorabaee, M., Amiri, M., Zavadskas, E. K., Turskis, Z., & Antucheviciene, J. (2021). Determination of objective weights using a new method based on the removal effects of criteria (MEREC). Symmetry-Basel, 13, 525. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym13040525

Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., Amiri, M., Zavadskas, E. K., Turskis, Z., & Antucheviciene, J. (2017). A new multi-criteria model based on interval type-2 fuzzy sets and EDAS method for supplier evaluation and order allocation with environmental considerations. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 112, 156–174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2017.08.017

Keshavarz Ghorabaee, M., Zavadskas, E. K., Olfat, L., & Turskis, Z. (2015). Multi-criteria inventory classification using a new method of evaluation based on distance from average solution (EDAS). Informatica, 26, 435–451. https://doi.org/10.15388/Informatica.2015.57

Kutlu Gündoğdu, F., & Kahraman, C. (2021). Optimal site selection of electric vehicle charging station by using spherical fuzzy TOPSIS method. In C. Kahraman & F. Kutlu Gündoğdu (Eds.), Decision making with spherical fuzzy sets: Theory and applications (pp. 201–216). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45461-6_8

Li, P., Liu, J., Wei, C., & Liu, J. (2022). A new EDAS method based on prospect theory for Pythagorean fuzzy set and its application in selecting investment projects for highway. Kybernetes, 51, 2636–2651. https://doi.org/10.1108/K-01-2021-0066

Li, X., Ju, Y. B., Ju, D. W., Zhang, W. K., Dong, P. W., & Wang, A. H. (2019). Multi-attribute group decision making method based on EDAS under picture fuzzy environment. IEEE Access, 7, 141179–141192. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2943348

Liu, P., & Zhang, P. (2021). A normal wiggly hesitant fuzzy MABAC method based on CCSD and prospect theory for multiple attribute decision making. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 36, 447–477. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.22306

Mahmood, T., Ullah, K., Khan, Q., & Jan, N. (2019). An approach toward decision-making and medical diagnosis problems using the concept of spherical fuzzy sets. Neural Computing & Applications, 31, 7041–7053. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-018-3521-2

Menekse, A., & Akdag, H. C. (2022). Distance education tool selection using novel spherical fuzzy AHP EDAS. Soft Computing, 26, 1617–1635. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-022-06763-z

Nguyen, P. H., Dang, T., Nguyen, K., & Pham, H. A. (2022). Spherical fuzzy WASPAS-based entropy objective weighting for international payment method selection. Computers Materials & Continua, 72, 2055–2075. https://doi.org/10.32604/cmc.2022.025532

Opricovic, S., & Tzeng, G. H. (2004). Compromise solution by MCDM methods: A comparative analysis of VIKOR and TOPSIS. European Journal of Operational Research, 2, 445–455. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0377-2217(03)00020-1

Ozcelik, G., & Nalkiran, M. (2021). An extension of EDAS method equipped with trapezoidal bipolar fuzzy information: An application from healthcare system. International Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 23, 2348–2366. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-021-01110-0

Rani, P., Mishra, A. R., Saha, A., Hezam, I. M., & Pamucar, D. (2022). Fermatean fuzzy Heronian mean operators and MEREC-based additive ratio assessment method: An application to food waste treatment technology selection. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 37, 2612–2647. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.22787

Rezaei, J. (2015). Best-worst multi-criteria decision-making method. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 53, 49–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2014.11.009

Seyfi-Shishavan, S. A., Gundogdu, F. K., Donyatalab, Y., Farrokhizadeh, E., & Kahraman, C. (2021). A novel spherical fuzzy bi-objective linear assignment method and its application to insurance options selection. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 20, 521–551. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219622021500073

Sharaf, I. M. (2021). Spherical fuzzy VIKOR with SWAM and SWGM operators for MCDM. In C. Kahraman & F. Kutlu Gündoğdu (Eds.), Decision making with spherical fuzzy sets: Theory and applications (pp. 217–240). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-45461-6_9

Stanujkic, D., Karabasevic, D., Popovic, G., Pamucar, D., Stevic, Z., Zavadskas, E. K., & Smarandache, F. (2021). A single-valued neutrosophic extension of the EDAS method. Axioms, 10, 245. https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms10040245

Su, W., Luo, D., Zhang, C., & Zeng, S. (2022). Evaluation of online learning platforms based on probabilistic linguistic term sets with self-confidence multiple attribute group decision making method. Expert Systems with Applications, 208, 118153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118153

Su, Y., Zhao, M., Wei, G., Wei, C., & Chen, X. (2022). Probabilistic uncertain linguistic EDAS method based on prospect theory for multiple attribute group decision-making and its application to green finance. International Journal of Fuzzy Systems, 24, 1318–1331. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-021-01184-w

Tian, C., Peng, J.-j., Long, Q.-q., Wang, J.-q., & Goh, M. (2022). Extended picture fuzzy MULTIMOORA method based on prospect theory for medical institution selection. Cognitive Computation, 14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-022-10006-6

Tiryaki, F., & Ahlatcioglu, M. (2005). Fuzzy stock selection using a new fuzzy ranking and weighting algorithm. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 170, 144–157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2004.10.092

Trung, D. D., & Thinh, H. X. (2021). A multi-criteria decision-making in turning process using the MAIRCA, EAMR, MARCOS and TOPSIS methods: A comparative study. Advances in Production Engineering & Management, 16, 443–456. https://doi.org/10.14743/apem2021.4.412

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5, 297–323. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00122574

Wang, Y. M., & Elhag, T. M. S. (2006). Fuzzy TOPSIS method based on alpha level sets with an application to bridge risk assessment. Expert Systems with Applications, 31, 309–319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2005.09.040

Wei, G., Wang, J., Lu, M., Wu, J., & Wei, C. (2019). Similarity measures of spherical fuzzy sets based on cosine function and their applications. IEEE Access, 7, 159069–159080. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2949296

Wei, G., Wei, C., & Guo, Y. (2021). EDAS method for probabilistic linguistic multiple attribute group decision making and their application to green supplier selection. Soft Computing, 9045–9053. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05842-x

Wu, Z., & Chen, Y. (2007). The maximizing deviation method for group multiple attribute decision making under linguistic environment. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 158, 1608–1617. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fss.2007.01.013

Yager, R. R. (2014). Pythagorean Membership grades in multicriteria decision making. IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, 22, 958–965. https://doi.org/10.1109/TFUZZ.2013.2278989

Yang, S., Pan, Y., & Zeng, S. (2022). Decision making framework based Fermatean fuzzy integrated weighted distance and TOPSIS for green low-carbon port evaluation. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 114, 105048. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2022.105048

Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy sets. Information and Control, 8, 338–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X

Zhang, H., & Wei, G. (2023). Location selection of electric vehicles charging stations by using the spherical fuzzy CPT-CoCoSo and D-CRITIC method. Computational & Applied Mathematics, 42, 60. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40314-022-02183-9

Zhang, H., Wei, G., & Chen, X. (2021). CPT-MABAC method for spherical fuzzy multiple attribute group decision making and its application to green supplier selection. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 41, 1009–1019. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-202954

Zhang, H., Wei, G., & Chen, X. (2022a). SF-GRA method based on cumulative prospect theory for multiple attribute group decision making and its application to emergency supplies supplier selection. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 110, 104679. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2022.104679

Zhang, H., Wei, G., & Chen, X. (2022b). Spherical fuzzy Dombi power Heronian mean aggregation operators for multiple attribute group decision-making. Computational & Applied Mathematics, 41, 98. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40314-022-01785-7

Zhang, H., Wei, G., & Wei, C. (2022c). TOPSIS method for spherical fuzzy MAGDM based on cumulative prospect theory and combined weights and its application to residential location. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 42, 1367–1380. https://doi.org/10.3233/JIFS-210267

Zhang, N., Su, W., Zhang, C., & Zeng, S. (2022d). Evaluation and selection model of community group purchase platform based on WEPLPA-CPT-EDAS method. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 172, 108573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2022.108573

Zhang, X. L., & Xu, Z. S. (2014). Extension of TOPSIS to multiple criteria decision making with Pythagorean fuzzy sets. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 29, 1061–1078. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.21676

Zhao, M., Wei, G., Wei, C., & Wu, J. (2021). Improved TODIM method for intuitionistic fuzzy MAGDM based on cumulative prospect theory and its application on stock investment selection. International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 12, 891–901. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13042-020-01208-1